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Visita de Byron Morgan
Caros colegas,
Estara visittando o Brasil no periodo de 26/05 a 04/07/2004
o Professor Byron Morgan (Institute of Mathematics and
Statistics,University of Kent, Canterbury, England)
Na oportunidade participara da 49.a Reuniao da RBRAS, nos dias 27 e
28/05/2004 em Uberlandia, MG e ministrara o minicurso:
Titulo: Statistical Ecology
Local: Departmento de Ciencias Exatas, ESALQ/USP, Piracicaba, SP
Periodo: 31/05 to 03/06 (das 14 as 18h)
Carga horaria: 20h
Statistical Ecology
Byron J.T. Morgan
Institute of Mathematics and Statistics,University of Kent
Canterbury, England
Abstract
In this workshop we shall introduce many of the main ideas in the area of
Statistical Ecology. This will involve estimating wild animal abundance,
productivity and survival. The work will be motivated by real data, and
illustrated by a wide range of examples, from abalone to red deer. In many
parts of the world there are currently changes in both farming practices
and climate, and it is important to be able to understand the knock-on
effects of these changes on populations of wild animals. Much of the work
described in the workshop is motivated by the needs of conservation and
management.
The statistical methods used will involve both classical methods based on
maximum-likelihood, and computational Bayes methods. There will be
practical sessions in which the workshop participants will obtain hands-on
experience with a number of computer programs and packages.
Program:
Day 1 Introduction
Estimating animal abundance
Practical 1: estimating animal abundance
Introudction to estimating survival
Day 2 Estimating survival- complex models
Practical 2: experience with eagle and MARK.
Parameter redundancy
Multi-site models
Day 3 Practical 3: Experimenting with Maple and M-Surge
An introdcution to Bayesian methods
Further applciation of Bayesian methods
Practical 4: Use of WinBUGS
Day 4 Models for survival involving covariates: deer and
sheep
State-space models
Practical 5: Use of kalm
Overview, questions and feedback
Cordiais saudacoes,
Clarice
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Clarice Garcia Borges Demetrio
Departamento de Ciencias Exatas | Phone: +55 019 34294144 R:216
ESALQ/USP | Fax: +55 019 34294346
Caixa Postal 9 | http://ce.esalq.usp.br/
13418-900 PIRACICABA, SP |
BRASIL | clarice@carpa.ciagri.usp.br