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Re: [ABE-L]: Mais : um pouco de conversa boa



Caro David
Achei sua frase
"what I believe in is least squares.
Probability is for fun, but least squares are for truth, more or less".
genial .
E verdade toda estimacao em econometria , analise espaco-temporal, series temporais e a maioria dos metodos que mencionei (pedi informacao) e etc sao na verdade least squares.
Nos e que nao temos coragem (ou sabemos identificar )e explicitar
Obrigado
Basilio


David Brillinger Escreveu:
Caros Basilio, Carlinhos e Gauss, Por comecar, algunos resultados da Copa de Oro:
Canada 1   Jamaica 0
Canada 1 El Salvador 0 OK, tenho um livro prezado, "Cidades".
Em este livro podemos ler "To a good friend, who also happens to be our favourite classical statistician. Carlos e Sergio"
!
The XXth and XIXth centuries have been mentioned in the conversao.
I am not sure just which century the above writers thought I belonged to, but I take mine as the XVIIIth because what I believe in is least squares.
Probability is for fun, but least squares are for truth, more or less.
As evidence I can tell you that one semester I taught our principal graduta course in applied statistics never using probability. I wondered if I was
 going to make it to the end of the semester around the 10th week, of 15, but when I started doing exploratory time series I realised that one could
go on forever. For those of you who don't know me, here's a hint - Generalized harmonic analysis and its uncle dynamical systems analysis. Ate logo, David --------------------------------------------------
David Brillinger
Statistics Department
University of California
367 Evans
Berkeley, CA
94720-3860
David's office telephone: 510-642-0611
Department telephone: 510-642-2781
Department fax: 510-642-7892
David's url: www.stat.berkeley.edu/~brill
David's email: brill@stat.berkeley.edu



Basilio de Bragança Pereira
*Titular Professor of  Bioestatistics and of Applied Statistics
*FM-Faculty of Medicine and COPPE-Posgraduate School of Engineering and
HUCFF-University Hospital Clementino Fraga Filho.
*UFRJ-Federal University of Rio de Janeiro
*Tel: (55 21) 2562-2594 or /2558/7045
www.po.ufrj.br/basilio/
*MailAddress:
COPPE/UFRJ
Caixa Postal 68507
CEP 21941-972 Rio de Janeiro,RJ
Brasil